Fresh from the Trading Room: Hot and Cold
The opinions expressed in this report are those of Inspirante Trading Solutions Pte Ltd (“ITS”) and are considered market commentary. They are not intended to act as investment recommendations. Full disclaimers are available at the end of this report.
Executive Summary
Renewed volatility, coupled with a series of disappointing data releases, has stoked recession fears. The price trends observed in gold, copper and iron ore collectively suggest a slowdown in economic activities, potentially leading to softer demand for crude oil and a generally negative market outlook. Opportunities are emerging in the energy markets, nevertheless, from natural gas, crude oil, to gasoline, given the nuanced interplay of these commodities, seasonality and political developments.
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Upcoming economic events (Singapore Local Time):
Markets in focus
Figure 1: Gold Futures to Copper Futures Ratio (Weekly)
Figure 2: Crude Oil and Iron Ore Futures (Biweekly)
Figure 3: Natural Gas Futures Calendar (Nov24-Jan25 & Jan25-Apr25)
and Butterfly Spread (Nov24-2*Jan25+Apr25)
Figure 4: Natural Gas Futures Winter Butterfly Spread for 2022/23, 2023/24 and 2024/25 (Nov– 2*Jan + Apr)
Figure 5: Natural Gas Futures to Heating Oil Futures Ratio (Weekly)
Figure 6: Crude Oil Futures to Gasoline Futures Ratio (Weekly)
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