Highlights
- U.S. President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement brought about increased tariff concerns globally, sending the gold price to a historical all-time high of $3,509.90/oz Although subsequent pauses in reciprocal tariffs and softer comments toward the Federal Reserve Chair eased market tensions, the gold price still gained 5.4% month-over-month (MoM) to close out April at $3,319.10/oz.
- Unlike gold, silver continued to be held back by industrial demand concerns, closing the month down 5.2% at $32.830/oz. The gold-to-silver ratio traded above the 100:1 level for most of April, a level not seen since 2020.
- The red metal, copper, took a hit from the aggressive reciprocal tariffs imposed by the U.S., which escalated U.S.-China trade tensions. Despite some support from a weaker U.S. dollar, weak Chinese manufacturing data pressured copper prices, resulting in an 8.4% MoM loss to settle at $4.6090/lb in April.
- As the market landscape becomes increasingly uncertain, our Micro product suite continues to serve as the preferred risk management venue for participants. Micro Gold (MGC) futures saw their April average daily volume (ADV) reach a new monthly record of 286,610 contracts, a 47% increase over the previous record.
- 1-Ounce Gold (1OZ futures continued to trade actively, with the April 2025 ADV reaching nearly 3,400 contracts, and open interest hitting its highest level of 6,147 contracts on April 21.
Micro Gold (MGC), Micro Silver (SIL) and Micro Copper (MHG) Futures Update
MGC, SIL and MHG price movement and daily range (expressed in terms of one lot notional)
*Intraday price movement is expressed as the difference between the daily high price and the daily low price multiplied by the contract notional in troy ounce (MGC and SIL) and pounds (MHG).
Options Heatmap (Change in OI from April 2 to May 1, 2025)
Key Economic Events in May/June 2025:
Key Economic Event |
ET |
GMT / BST |
SGT / HKT |
---|---|---|---|
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI |
May 1, 10.00 a.m. |
May 1, 3.00 p.m. |
May 1, 10.00 p.m. |
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls |
May 2, 8.30 a.m. |
May 2, 1.30 p.m. |
May 2, 8.30 p.m. |
U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision and Fed Press Conference |
May 7, 2.00 p.m. |
May 7, 7.00 p.m. |
May 8, 2.00 a.m. |
China Balance of Trade |
May 8, 11.00 p.m. |
May 9, 4.00 a.m. |
May 9, 11.00 a.m. |
China Inflation Rate YoY |
May 9, 9.30 p.m. |
May 10, 2.30 a.m. |
May 10, 9.30 a.m. |
U.S. Inflation Numbers |
May 13, 8.30 a.m. |
May 13, 1.30 p.m. |
May 13, 8.30 p.m. |
China Industrial Production YoY |
May 18, 10.00 p.m. |
May 19, 3.00 a.m. |
May 19, 10.00 a.m. |
FOMC Minutes |
May 28, 2.00 p.m. |
May 28, 7.00 p.m. |
May 29, 2.00 a.m. |
U.S. GDP Growth Rate QoQ |
May 29, 8.30 a.m. |
May 29, 1.30 p.m. |
May 29, 8.30 p.m. |
U.S. Core PCE Price Index |
May 30, 8.30 a.m. |
May 30, 1.30 p.m. |
May 30, 8.30 p.m. |
China NBS Manufacturing PMI |
May 30, 9.30 p.m. |
May 31, 2.30 a.m. |
May 31, 9.30 a.m. |
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI |
Jun 2, 10.00 a.m. |
Jun 2, 3.00 p.m. |
Jun 2, 10.00 p.m. |
China Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
Jun 2, 9.45 p.m. |
Jun 3, 2.45 a.m. |
Jun 3, 9.45 a.m. |
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls |
Jun 6, 8.30 a.m. |
Jun 6, 1.30 p.m. |
Jun 6, 8.30 p.m. |
China Balance of Trade |
Jun 6, 11.00 p.m. |
Jun 7, 4.00 a.m. |
Jun 7, 11.00 a.m. |
China Inflation Rate YoY |
Jun 8, 9.30 p.m. |
Jun 9, 2.30 a.m. |
Jun 9, 9.30 a.m. |
U.S. Inflation Numbers |
Jun 11, 8.30 a.m. |
Jun 11, 1.30 p.m. |
Jun 11, 8.30 p.m. |
China Industrial Production YoY |
Jun 15, 10.00 p.m. |
Jun 16, 3.00 a.m. |
Jun 16, 10.00 a.m. |
U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision, FOMC Economic Projections and Fed Press Conference |
Jun 18, 2.00 p.m. |
Jun 18, 7.00 p.m. |
Jun 19, 2.00 a.m. |
U.S. GDP Growth Rate QoQ |
Jun 26, 8.30 a.m. |
Jun 26, 1.30 p.m. |
Jun 26, 8.30 p.m. |
U.S. Core PCE Price Index |
Jun 27, 8.30 a.m. |
Jun 27, 1.30 p.m. |
Jun 27, 8.30 p.m. |
China NBS Manufacturing PMI |
Jun 29, 9.30 p.m. |
Jun 30, 2.30 a.m. |
Jun 30, 9.30 a.m. |
China Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
Jun 30, 9.45 p.m. |
Jul 1, 2.45 a.m. |
Jul 1, 9.45 a.m. |
Source: CME Group, Quikstrike
Useful resources
Stay up-to-date with the latest probabilities of FOMC rate moves with the CME FedWatch Tool.
The Commitments of Traders (COT) tool can provide a comprehensive and highly configurable graphical representation of the CFTC's report on market open interest.
Build and test your trading strategies in a simulated environment with free pricing and analytics tools for CME Group markets. Choose from three ways to access exclusive, web-based tools developed by QuikStrike®.
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