Highlights
- On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump took office, bringing ongoing concerns about U.S. tariffs and a pause in the rate-cutting cycle. These factors increased market uncertainty, which is reflected in the gold price. Gold gained 7.4% month-over-month (MoM), settling at $2,835/oz. in January 2025..
- News of potential tariffs on Mexico and Canada towards the end of January contributed to a significant jump in active silver prices. Silver closed the month at $32.265/oz., up 10.3% MoM, marking the largest monthly gain since May 2024.
- In addition to tariff concerns, copper prices rose 6.3% MoM to $4.2790/lb. This increase was driven by a weaker U.S. dollar and strong China industrial production rates in December 2024, which lifted market sentiment regarding Chinese demand.
- Amid increasing market volatility, Micro Gold (MGC) futures continues to be a preferred risk management tool for many market participants. The 2025 year-to-date (YTD) average daily volume (ADV) reached 121,055 contracts, a 15% increase compared to FY2024.
- We are also pleased to announce the launch of 1-Ounce Gold (1OZ) futures . This cash-settled Gold futures contract lowers the barrier for market participants to trade in one of the world’s most liquid gold markets.
MGC, SIL and MHG price movement and daily range (expressed in terms of one lot notional)
*Intraday price movement is expressed as the difference between the daily high price and the daily low price multiplied by the contract notional in troy ounce (MGC and SIL) and pounds (MHG).
Options Heatmap (Change in OI from January 6 to February 5, 2025)
Key Economic Events in February/March 2025:
Key Economic Event |
ET |
GMT / BST |
SGT / HKT |
---|---|---|---|
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI |
Feb 3, 10.00 a.m. |
Feb 3, 3.00 p.m. |
Feb 3, 11.00 p.m. |
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls |
Feb 7, 8.30 a.m. |
Feb 7, 1.30 p.m. |
Feb 7, 9.30 p.m. |
China Inflation Rate YoY |
Feb 7, 8.30 p.m. |
Feb 8, 1.30 a.m. |
Feb 8, 9.30 a.m. |
U.S. Inflation Numbers |
Feb 12, 8.30 a.m. |
Feb 12, 1.30 p.m. |
Feb 12, 9.30 p.m. |
FOMC minutes |
Feb 19, 2.00 p.m. |
Feb 19, 7.00 p.m. |
Feb 20, 3.00 a.m. |
U.S. Core PCE Price Index |
Feb 28, 8.30 a.m. |
Feb 28, 1.30 p.m. |
Feb 28, 9.30 p.m. |
China NBS Manufacturing PMI |
Feb 28, 8.30 p.m. |
Mar 1, 1.30 a.m. |
Mar 1, 9.30 a.m. |
China Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
Mar 2, 8.45 p.m. |
Mar 3, 1.45 a.m. |
Mar 3, 9.45 a.m. |
U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI |
Mar 3, 10.00 a.m. |
Mar 3, 3.00 p.m. |
Mar 3, 11.00 p.m. |
China Balance of Trade |
Mar 6, 10.00 p.m. |
Mar 7, 3.00 a.m. |
Mar 7, 11.00 a.m. |
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls |
Mar 7, 8.30 a.m. |
Mar 7, 1.30 p.m. |
Mar 7, 9.30 p.m. |
China Inflation Rate YoY |
Mar 8, 8.30 p.m. |
Mar 9, 1.30 a.m. |
Mar 9, 9.30 a.m. |
U.S. Inflation Numbers |
Mar 12, 8.30 a.m. |
Mar 12, 12.30 p.m. |
Mar 12, 8.30 p.m. |
China Industrial Production YoY |
Mar 16, 10.00 p.m. |
Mar 17, 2.00 a.m. |
Mar 17, 10.00 a.m. |
U.S. Fed Interest Rate Decision, FOMC Economic Projection and Fed Press Conference |
Mar 19, 3.00 p.m. |
Mar 19, 7.00 p.m. |
Mar 20, 3.00 a.m. |
U.S. GDP Growth Rate QoQ |
Mar 27, 8.30 a.m. |
Mar 27, 12.30 p.m. |
Mar 27, 8.30 p.m. |
U.S. Core PCE Price Index |
Mar 28, 8.30 a.m. |
Mar 28, 12.30 p.m. |
Mar 28, 8.30 p.m. |
China NBS Manufacturing PMI |
Mar 30, 9.30 p.m. |
Mar 31, 1.30 a.m. |
Mar 31, 9.30 a.m. |
China Caixin Manufacturing PMI |
Mar 31, 9.45 p.m. |
Apr 1, 2.45 a.m. |
Apr 1, 9.45 a.m. |
Source: CME Group, Quikstrike
Useful resources
Stay up-to-date with the latest probabilities of FOMC rate moves with the CME FedWatch Tool.
The Commitments of Traders (COT) tool can provide a comprehensive and highly configurable graphical representation of the CFTC's report on market open interest.
Build and test your trading strategies in a simulated environment with free pricing and analytics tools for CME Group markets. Choose from three ways to access exclusive, web-based tools developed by QuikStrike®.
Disclaimer
Exchange traded derivatives and cleared over-the-counter (“OTC”) derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Exchange traded and OTC derivatives are leveraged instruments and because only a percentage of a contract’s value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the amount of money initially deposited. This communication does not (within the meaning of any applicable legislation) constitute a Prospectus or a public offering of securities; nor is it a recommendation, offer, invitation or solicitation to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
The content in this communication has been compiled by CME Group for general purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be construed as advice. It does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs, and you should obtain appropriate professional advice before acting on or relying on the information set out in this communication. Although every attempt has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information within this communication as of the date of publication, CME Group assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions and will not update it. Additionally, all examples and information in this communication are used for explanation purposes only and should not be considered, investment advice, the results of actual market experience, or the promotion of any particular products or services. All matters pertaining to rules and specifications herein are made subject to and superseded by official Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. (“CME”), the Chicago Board of Trade, Inc. (“CBOT”), the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (“NYMEX”), and the Commodity Exchange, Inc. (“COMEX”) rulebooks or, as applicable, the respective Rulebooks of CME Group’s certain other subsidiary trading facilities. Current rules should be consulted in all cases including matters relevant to contract specifications.