In this report
MARK YOUR CALENDARS
EYES ON THE WTI’S
- Market navigators: OPEC Watch and WTI Weeklies in focus ahead of July 6
- Natural Gas options activity heats up as summer demand looms
MAJOR GRAINS
- The best thing since sliced bread: HRS Wheat breaks trading records
- Micro Ag contracts, major opportunities: discover precision hedging and broader market access
- Despite rising prices and volatility, rapeseed oil gains traction as a biofuel feedstock
AS GOOD AS GOLD
MARK YOUR CALENDARS
As economic and geopolitical events unfold, traders are hedging risk with futures and options
Global commodity markets currently appear to be influenced by a dynamic interplay of critical, event-driven catalysts alongside underlying seasonal trends. In the energy sphere, the market is struggling to reconcile current supply as an active conflict in the Middle East persists, involving many of the world’s major oil producers. The OPEC+ meeting remains a significant focal point, its outcomes and influence amplified by persistent geopolitical developments. Traders will be closely monitoring these circumstances, potentially using instruments such as WTI Weeklies to manage event-specific risk.
The agricultural sector, in particular, is keenly awaiting crucial data releases: the USDA's Grain Stocks and Acreage reports due on June 30 will provide vital insights into supply, followed closely by the highly anticipated WASDE report on July 11. These releases will be pivotal for price discovery in markets like HRS wheat (HRS) and will also influence the outlook for inputs such as Fertilizer.
Beyond these traditional powerhouses, the metals complex is showcasing unique dynamics. Battery metals trading records could be seen as events themselves, driven by the secular shift to green technology, policy initiatives and supply chain developments, resulting in record growth in Battery Metals futures. Concurrently, precious metals are responding to a complex mix of industrial demand and geopolitical factors. Platinum (PL) recently hit its highest open interest day, driven by its industrial applications and its potential as a safe-haven or strategic asset amid heightened geopolitical uncertainties. Understanding the direct impact and interplay of these specific reports, meetings and tension points is crucial for navigating opportunities in the current commodity landscape.
EYES ON THE WTI’S
Market navigators: OPEC Watch and WTI Weeklies in focus ahead of July 6
As the oil markets brace for potential developments, particularly with the upcoming OPEC+ announcement in early July and geopolitical movements in the Middle East, traders are increasingly leveraging sophisticated tools and strategies to manage risk. The OPEC Watch Tool has become a key resource, providing market participants with data-driven insights into the probabilities of various outcomes from upcoming OPEC+ meetings. By deriving these probabilities from WTI Crude Oil (LO) options market prices, the tool offers a quantifiable measure of traders' collective expectations, moving beyond anecdotal sentiment to inform positioning ahead of July 6.
In conjunction with such analytical tools, WTI Weekly options are seeing notable attention. Analysis of volume and open interest trends in these short-dated instruments often reveals heightened activity as traders seek to hedge exposures or position themselves for anticipated volatility. The flexibility and precision offered by WTI Weekly options allow for targeted risk management strategies. This enables market participants to adjust their portfolios efficiently in the crucial hours leading up to the weekend close, a period often fraught with uncertainty tied to geopolitical events or pending supply decisions.
Natural Gas options activity heats up as summer demand looms
Trading in Natural Gas Weekly (LN) and monthly options is drawing increased attention as the summer season approaches, with market participants closely monitoring weather forecasts and potential demand surges for cooling. The prospect of sustained high temperatures typically fuels expectations of greater natural gas consumption for power generation. This anticipation is often reflected in the options market, where both Weekly and monthly contracts, such as Henry Hub Natural Gas options, provide tools for hedging against price volatility or speculating on directional moves. Observers are noting shifts in volume and open interest as traders position themselves for the core of the summer, balancing storage level considerations with the immediate impact of heatwaves on consumption.
MAJOR GRAINS
The best thing since sliced bread: HRS Wheat breaks trading records
The Hard Red Spring (HRS) Wheat market is demonstrating significant trading activity this June. HRS Wheat volume broke a record 30K contracts traded in early June, with momentum continuing as average daily volume (ADV) reached 38,583 contracts and had an average daily open interest (ADOI) hit 1,018 as of June 16. This robust volume underscores the utility of HRS Wheat contracts, which provide a vital mechanism for price discovery and risk management for participants across the value chain, from producers to end-users. The active daily turnover highlights how these standardized contracts are being effectively used by traders to navigate factors such as weather in key North American growing regions, global supply and demand forecasts, and broader agricultural commodity trends.
Micro Ag contracts, major opportunities: discover precision hedging and broader market access
The Micro Ag suite is gaining traction as traders increasingly recognize the distinct benefits these smaller-sized instruments offer for managing risk and accessing key agricultural markets. The primary advantage lies in their reduced contract size, which translates to lower capital requirements and margin commitments. This feature can make the Micro Ag suite accessible to a wider range of participants, including individual traders and smaller commercial operations. This granularity allows for more precise hedging strategies, enabling users to fine-tune their risk exposure with greater accuracy against specific quantities of underlying commodities like Corn (MZC), Soybeans (MZS) or Wheat (MZW). Furthermore, the micro contracts provide a more nimble way to enter or exit positions, offering enhanced flexibility in navigating the dynamic agricultural landscape without the larger financial outlay associated with standard-sized contracts.
Despite rising prices and volatility, rapeseed oil gains traction as a biofuel feedstock
The European rapeseed oil market is a key player in the global vegetable oil landscape, increasingly influenced by the growing bioenergy sector. While soybean oil remains a leading benchmark, European rapeseed oil is gaining traction as a biofuel feedstock, particularly for colder weather biodiesel blends. This growing demand has contributed to rising prices and volatility in the rapeseed oil market over the past 18 months.
European Rapeseed Oil (RSO) futures are now available to help you manage this price risk. This new tool complements our existing suite of vegetable oil derivatives, including U.S. Soybean Oil (ZL) and Malaysian Palm Oil (CPO) futures and options, providing a comprehensive solution for hedging your exposure across the vegetable oil complex.
AS GOOD AS GOLD
Precious metals and battery metals surge as June sees record activity
The metals markets are experiencing a surge of activity this June, with Gold (GC) maintaining keen interest while platinum and battery metals hit significant new records, signaling robust investor engagement and a dynamic outlook. Notably, on June 13, 2025, Platinum (PL) futures saw their open interest climb to an impressive 105,554 contracts, marking the ninth highest open interest day for the product. On the same day, Platinum (PO) options achieved a landmark, recording an open interest of 59,157 contracts, which ranks as the number one open interest day for these options, underscoring heightened strategic positioning in the shiny metal.
The energy transition materials can also be described as "electric," with our suite of Battery Metals products achieving all their top 10 volume days this year alone, fueled by over 200 active accounts year-to-date and an average daily volume that has soared by over 100% year over year. This momentum was starkly highlighted on May 29, when both Lithium Hydroxide futures and Cobalt Metal futures individually exceeded 1,000 contracts traded for the first time, contributing to a single-day record of 2,587 contracts traded across all Battery Metals products. This increased volume has driven open interest to a new high, surpassing 64,000 contracts, with the curve for Lithium Hydroxide futures now extending through the first quarter of 2027, indicating deepening market participation and long-term hedging interest in these critical commodities.
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All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.