Client:

Crude oil traders, refiners and arbitrageurs.

Challenge:

Managing the unique price risks, optionality and transit time exposure in the U.S. Gulf Coast vs. Europe crude oil cargo trade.

Solution:

The comprehensive product suite of CME Group WTI vs. Brent spreads, outright futures, specialized spread options and grade differentials provide tools for varying cargo hedging needs.

Overview

With the U.S. Gulf Coast as the marginal crude oil supplier to the world and often the price-setter for dated Brent, the transatlantic crude trade is a cornerstone of global energy markets. CME Group offers a range of futures and options that allow traders to capture opportunity and manage the volatile spread between WTI and Brent-related oil markets.

In the sections below, we examine four approaches to using CME Group futures and options to manage risk and monetize opportunity around transatlantic crude cargo movements:

  1. Locking in a Brent price for a U.S. supply deal (BK/BKB and HTT/HTB)
  2. Trading the paper arb (CL/BZ + HTT)
  3. Hedge against WTI-Brent narrowing with call options (BV)
  4. Monetize location optionality with cross-month WTI-Brent puts (BVX)

Approach

Example one: locking in a Brent price for a U.S. supply deal

A trading company has a term supply deal of one Aframax cargo per month of WTI Midland FOB Corpus Christi at a floating Argus WTI Houston-related (MEH) price. In April, the balance-of-the-year forward curves for WTI versus Brent and Dubai imply that the best netback value for the cargo is provided by the European market, into which he will eventually place the cargos on a dated-related basis. The trader decides to lock in the arb economics with a paper hedge for the next six months. For cargos loading June – December, he will:

Buy Jun – Dec WTI-Brent Financial futures calendar strip (Code: BK) Pay -$4.65
Sell Jun – Dec Brent DFL (Code: FY) Collect $+0.50
Buy Jun – Dec WTI Houston (Argus) vs. WTI Trade Month (Code: HTT) Pay $1.30
Net Long Jun-Dec WTI Midland at Houston vs. Jun – Dec Dated Brent at -$3.85

The trading company is now long the WTI Midland strip at a $3.85 discount to the target European dated Brent market, which the trader believes will more than cover freight and loading costs. The futures will price out along with his supply deal and subsequent physical sales into the dated market.


Pricing a cargo in the middle of the trade month?

Balance-of-month (BALMO) futures are often used to manage mid-month risk: HTB, BK or BKB.


Example two: trading the arb on paper

The arb is open to deliver cargos of WTI Midland into Northwest Europe. With Gulf Coast refiners coming out of turnaround, a trader believes that the U.S. will not have sufficient supply to export at a high rate. He wants to express the point of view that the arb for July loading must close by using liquid paper instruments, and executes 100 contracts of the following instruments at the per barrel prices below:

Buy Jul WTI Houston (Argus) vs. WTI Trade Month (Code: HTT) Pay $1.25
Buy Jul/Oct WTI time spreads (Code: CL)  Pay $0.60
Buy Oct WTI vs. Brent (Code: CL/BZ) Pay -$4.00
Sell Aug Brent DFL (Code: FY) Collect $0.45
Net long the arb at -$2.60

On May 19, the trader sees the forward market has shifted, with WTI Houston differentials and WTI time spreads strengthening to close the arb. He wants to cover his position and lock in $.45 in profit.

Sell Jul HTT Collect $1.50
Sell Jul/Oct WTI time spreads Collect +$0.80
Sell Oct CL/BZ Collect -$4.00
Buy Jul DFL Pay +0.45
Exits the arb at -$2.15   => profit of $.45

Looking to trade HTT and CL/BZ electronically?

Check out the arb-trading features on CME Direct.


Example three: buying a call to hedge against WTI-Brent narrowing

A European refiner is looking to buy a 700K barrel cargo of WTI Midland at a WTI-related price for delivery into Europe. The WTI/Brent (CL/BZ) spread is trading at -$4.20

The refiner wishes to buy insurance against the crude oil purchase being too expensive relative to Brent-related product sales (WTI-Brent narrowing). 

Refiner buys 700 WTI-Brent Crude Oil Spread (BV) option calls with a strike of -$4.10, paying $.20 as insurance against the WTI/Brent spread narrowing.

At BV expiration:

  • Scenario A: The WTI/Brent spread (CL/BZ)  is -$5.00 per barrel
    • The call option expires worthless since the spread is lower than the strike price
    • The refiner is able to lock in the price of his crude oil at $5.00 below Brent
    • The net purchase expense for crude oil is -$4.80 under Brent (-$5.00 net the $.20 call premium)
  • Scenario B: The WTI/Brent spread (CL/BZ) is -$3.50 per barrel
    • Since the spread is .60 above the call strike price, the option pays out $.60 or $420,000
    • The refiner is able to buy a cargo of WTI-based crude at -$3.50 below Brent
    • The net purchase expense for crude oil is -$3.90 under Brent (-$3.50 CL/BZ less $.60 option payout plus $.20 option premium paid)

In this example, the refiner pays a premium to insure against the narrowing in the WTI-Brent spread. If the spread widens, the refiner buys the WTI-based crude oil at a wider discount to Brent, with the profit offsetting some of the premium. If the spread narrows, the option pays out, helping to offset the higher relative cost of crude oil.

Example four: selling a cross-month WTI-Brent put (BVX) to monetize location optionality

The WTI-Brent Crude Oil cross month spread option (Exchange Code: BVX) provides a tool for managing the unique cross-month spread risk that arises from cargo transit time: loading or pricing a cargo in one month and selling it in a different month.    

In this example, a trader has a term purchase of a 700K barrel U.S. Gulf Coast cargo, paying a WTI-based price for the month of loading. Based on his assessment of freight and quality for the January cargo, he believes he will earn a higher return by selling the cargo into Europe off a February Brent price if the January WTI/February Brent spread is -$4.00 or wider. If the spread is narrower than -$4.00 he will resell the cargo locally off of a WTI price.    

To take advantage of his physical optionality on the cargo delivery, he decides to sell 700 January BVX puts with a -$4.00 strike . The trader collects the premium of $.75 or $525,000.   

At BVX expiration:  

  • Scenario A:  January WTI/February Brent spread is -$5.00 per barrel
    • Since the spread is wider than -$4.00, the trader will sell the cargo into Europe and can lock in $1.00 of paper profit on the cargo or $700,000
    • Since the spread is $1.00 below the put strike price, the trader owes $1.00 or $700,000 on the option  
    • The trader keeps the $.75 or $525,000 in option premium
  • Scenario B:  January WTI/February Brent spread  is -$3.75 per barrel
    • The option expires worthless
    • The trader sells the cargo into the domestic market
    • The trader keeps the $.75 or $525,000 in option premium  

The trader monetizes the optionality in the cargo by collecting a premium on the sale of the put. If the spread narrows beyond -$4.00, the option expires worthless and the trader keeps the premium. If the spread widens, the trader will owe money on his option but will offset the loss by physically buying crude off January WTI and delivering it to Europe for a February Brent-related sale

The hedging and trading opportunities for transatlantic crude oil trade are numerous. For more information about the products used above or other transatlantic arb products, please refer to the list below, or contact energy@cmegroup.com.

Selected CME Group futures and options products

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