Gold futures experienced a recovery bounce, climbing to test intraday highs near 4,109.60 as price action remains compressed within a symmetrical triangle pattern. The rally coincided with softer-than-expected labor data, as June JOLTS job openings fell to 7.359 million, missing the 7.440 million forecast and seeing a downward revision for May. This cooling labor demand has eased wage pressures and reduced the probability of a rate hike at the September FOMC meeting to 54.82%. Despite the upward price movement, the rally occurred on below-average volume, suggesting a lack of strong buyer conviction. Market participants now look toward upcoming ADP and non-farm payroll reports for further confirmation on labor market weakness, which could impact dollar strength and provide additional support for gold.
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