Todd Colvin discusses the rise in the 10-Year Treasury Note yield to start the trading week. Driven by ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East and rising inflation expectations tied to higher oil prices, the 10-Year yield breached 4.60% intraday for only the fourth time since mid-May before settling at 4.59%, up 5 basis points. Colvin notes that market volatility has tracked yields higher, as evidenced by the CME Group CVOL index. Looking ahead, the focus shifts to Tuesday's economic calendar, which features the ADP employment change and the Philly Fed non-manufacturing index. Additionally, the Federal Reserve has entered its official blackout period, leaving market participants without central bank speakers ahead of the upcoming July FOMC meeting.
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