The Fed held the funds rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% at the January 28th FOMC meeting—exactly what markets expected. But two points stood out: two dissenting votes favoring rate cuts (Waller and Mester), and Chair Powell’s comments on how AI could be affecting the labor market. While equities and rates took it calmly, metals reacted sharply, with gold rallying hard after the meeting and then reversing by the next morning. In this video, we break down what those signals might mean for rate expectations, how “dovish vs. hawkish” leadership changes can shift market narratives, and why crowded positioning can amplify volatility in assets like gold. We also preview a major week of labor market catalysts—JOLTS (Feb 3), ADP (Feb 4), and Nonfarm Payrolls (Feb 6)—and why surprises in employment data can ripple into metals markets.
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