At-a-Glance
Key Takeaways with Craig
US Equity Indexes were mostly lower, though the Nasdaq did manage a slight gain, and US Treasury yields rose as second quarter trading began today. The only two products for which CME calculates a CVOL value that didn’t increase today were Natural Gas and Heating Oil and implied volatiltiy also increased in CME’s Equity Index options.
Earlier in the day, the 10-Year Yield future was up by about 7 basis points more than the 2-year, but by the end of trading both the 2s and 10s were up by about 11 basis points and the 30-Year was up by about 13. One of the interesting aspects of the rally in Gold futures prices recently is that it has occurred even as Treasury yields have traded higher, including during today’s action. Until recently, we’d notied a strong negative correlation between yields and the price of Gold. This relationship also was consistent in the options skew of the 10-Year and Gold as you can see in the graph below. Beginning in July of last year, you can see that, generally, the skew in the 10-Year yield (blue line) had been moving inversely with that of Gold (orange line). However, more recently, as you can see in the right part of the graph, the two have been much more positively correlated.
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