At-a-Glance

Key Takeaways with Craig

US Equity Indexes were mostly higher today, led by the Nasdaq, which was up by about 1.25%.  Implied volatility in CME’s Equity Index options markets was near steady from Friday’s closing levels, though vol in the options that expire on Wednesday afternoon, after the scheduled FOMC decision, is higher than in the surrounding expirations. 

US Treasury Yields rose slightly with the 2-Year Treasury Yield future gaining about 1.5 basis points, the 10-Year up by about 3.5 and the 30-Year up by about 6.5.  CVOL at the short end of the yield curve was little changed, while it rose in the options on the longer tenors.  CME’s FedWatch tool was little changed from Friday and still reflected the probability of no change to the Fed Fund Target rate at the March an May meetings and a slightly higher than 50% probability for a cut at the June meeting. 

CME Energy markets were mostly higher today as well, with WTI Crude Oil futures prices up by another 2.2% and Nat Gas up by about 3.25%. 

Finally, cryptocurrency futures remain volatile with Bitcoin prices down by about 2.7% from Friday’s close and Ether prices down by about 5.5%.  Implied volatility in CME’s cryptocurrency options markets remains elevated although it fell slightly today in Bitcoin options and rose by a bit in Ether, which can be seen in the blue line in the top two graphs below.  The options skew, at least as measured by the risk reversal, remains divergent between the two cryptocurrency options.  Bitcoin, on the bottom left, is trading with a slight Call skew, while Ether, on the bottom right, is trading with a slight Put skew.  

Today's Future Price Action

Traders Resources

The information in the market commentaries have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and expressly disclaim all liability. Neither the information nor any opinions expressed therein constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts. The information on this site compiled by CME Group is for general purposes only. All information and data herein is provided as-is. Additionally, all examples on this site are hypothetical situations, used for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience. CME Group assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. CME Group, its affiliates and any third party information and content providers expressly disclaim all liability with respect to the information and data contained herein including without limitation, any liability with respect to the accuracy or completeness of any data. You use the data herein solely at your own risk. All data and information provided herein is not intended for trading purposes or for trading advice. All matters pertaining to rules and specifications herein are made subject to and superseded by official CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX rules. Current rules should be consulted in all cases concerning contract specifications.

Neither futures trading nor swaps trading are suitable for all investors, and each involves the risk of loss. Due to the leveraged nature of futures trading and swaps trading, it is possible to lose more than the amount deposited in a position. Therefore, traders should not deposit more funds than they can afford to lose without negatively affecting their lifestyles. A trader cannot expect to profit on each trade, and should only devote a small amount of their available funds to each trade. All references to options refer to options on futures.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance.

CME Group, the Globe Logo, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, Globex and CME are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT is the trademark of the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago, Inc. NYMEX is the trademark of the New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange, Inc. All other marks are the property of their respective owners. Each of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. (ARBN 103 432 391), The Board of Trade of the City of Chicago Inc (ARBN 110 594 459), the New York Mercantile Exchange Inc (ARBN 113 929 436) and Commodity Exchange, Inc. (ARBN 622 016 193) is a registered foreign company in Australia and holds an Australian market licence.

This site does not constitute a prospectus, product disclosure statement or legal advice, nor is it a recommendation to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or to utilise or refrain from utilising any particular service. Readers should consult their legal advisors for legal advice in connection with the matters covered on this site.

CME Group is the world’s leading derivatives marketplace. The company is comprised of four Designated Contract Markets (DCMs). 
Further information on each exchange's rules and product listings can be found by clicking on the links to CME, CBOT, NYMEX and COMEX.

© 2024 CME Group Inc. All rights reserved.