| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.0% | -0.1% to 0.1% | 0.3% | -0.1% | |
| 3-Months over 3-Months | 0.1% | -0.1% | 0.0% |
Highlights
Services growth of 0.3 percent continues to anchor short-term economic stability, reflecting the sector's dominant role in the UK economy. Production recorded a notable monthly increase of 1.1 percent, signalling short-term resilience, possibly linked to manufacturing recoveries seen earlier in the autumn. In contrast, construction output declined sharply by 1.3 percent, reinforcing concerns around weak investment conditions and cost pressures in the sector.
Looking at the broader three-month picture, GDP rose to 0.1 percent, with services remaining the main source of support, but production output contracted slightly, driven by weakness in motor vehicle manufacturing. Construction's continued decline, now at its weakest three-month performance since March 2023, underscores sustained momentum loss.
Indeed, the latest data indicate that the UK economy is growing very slowly, reliant on services, and constrained by persistent softness in construction and parts of manufacturing. The latest update takes the RPI to 16 and the RPI-P to 35, meaning that economic activities are now outperforming market expectations in the UK.