| Consensus | Consensus Range | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Conditions | -76.0 | -80.0 to -74.1 | -81.0 |
| Economic Sentiment | 50.0 | 35.0 to 55.0 | 45.8 |
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Current conditions seen better at minus 76.0 for January versus minus 81.0 in December. Sentiment expected at 50 versus 45.8 in December.
Definition
The Mannheim-based Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), asks German financial experts every month for their opinions on current economic conditions and the economic outlook for Germany (as well as other major industrial economies). The responses are synthesised into two simple indices that provide a snapshot of how the economy is seen to be performing.
Description
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. The ZEW is followed closely as a precursor and predictor of the Ifo Sentiment Survey and as such is followed closely by market participants. The data are available around mid-month for the current month. The survey provides a measure of analysts' view of current economic conditions as well as a gauge of expectations about the coming six months. The latter measure tends to have the larger market impact and reflects the difference between the share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. About 350 financial experts take part in the survey.
