| Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -0.1% | -1.1% | -0.9% |
| Year over Year | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
Highlights
However, the monthly data reveal continued fragility. Sales volumes fell marginally in November by 0.1 percent, extending a run of monthly declines, with supermarkets recording a fourth consecutive drop amid weak footfall. Non-store retailing also softened as demand for gold eased, reflecting more cautious consumer behaviour. These losses were partly offset by gains in non-food stores, where extended Black Friday promotions boosted department stores, footwear, and fuel sales.
The Black Friday effect was present but muted. Non-seasonally adjusted volumes surged, yet seasonally adjusted figures suggest discounting was less powerful than in previous years, consistent with survey evidence showing more consumers planning to limit spending. Online spending continues to outperform, rising strongly on both a quarterly and annual basis, and nudging the online share of total retail higher.
Overall, retail sales remain below pre-pandemic levels, with growth driven more by channel shifts and targeted spending than broad-based consumer confidence.
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness but electronics sales are soaring. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.