| Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Year over Year | 1.1% | 1.3% |
Highlights
Machinery and equipment output fell 2.2 percent in October, with all subcomponents declining month-on-month. The manufacture of transportation equipment saw a 0.1 percent increase month-on-month following a 5.3 percent increase in September, as performance in sub-sectors offset each other. While other transportation rose 2.4 percent, it declined 4.0 percent for motor vehicles and trailers.
Energy production increased 2.0 percent compared to September when it rose a more modest 0.2 percent. Among other major sectors, capital goods output fell 1.2 percent in October after a 1.6 percent increase the previous month. Consumer durables production fell 0.5 percent after a robust gain of 4.3 percent the month before. At the same time, intermediate goods output rose 0.2 percent and that of consumer non-durables was 1.0 percent higher than the previous month.
With no robust order intake, manufacturers have been working through inventories and no considerable expansion is evident. Production numbers can be volatile month-to-month, and looking at a three-month comparison, manufacturing output is only up 0.2 percent compared to the previous three months.
While separate surveys have shown manufacturers to be more optimistic about future developments, that has so far not been reflected in new orders. Absent that, an increase in output is illusory at this point.