ActualPreviousConsensusConsensus Range
CPI - M/M-0.2%0.3%
CPI - Y/Y2.4%2.4%2.6%2.5% to 2.6%
Core CPI - M/M-0.1%0.4%
Core CPI - Y/Y2.0%2.2%

Highlights

South Korea's headline consumer price index rose 2.4 percent on the year in November, as it did in October. This is the strongest headline inflation since July 2024. The index fell 0.2 percent on the month after increasing 0.3 percent previously. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, fell 0.1 percent on the month after a previous increase of 0.4 percent, with the year-over-year increase moderating from 2.2 percent, a multi-month high, to 2.0 percent. Lower core inflation in October was broad-based across major categories, including housing and utilities, transport, communications and restaurants and hotels.


At the Bank of Korea's most recent policy meeting, held last week, officials left the main policy rate on hold at 2.50 percent. Although officials advised that they are"leaving room for potential rate cuts", they stressed that any further rate cuts will be based on incoming data.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

CPI expected up 2.6 percent on year in November after rising by 2.4 percent in October.

Definition

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure of the average price level of a fixed basket of goods and services purchased by consumers. Annual changes in the CPI represent the rate of inflation.

Description

An investor who understands how inflation influences the markets will benefit over those investors that do not understand the impact. Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets and your investments.

Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from mortgages and auto loans to government securities. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.

By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.
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