| Actual | Previous | Consensus | Consensus Range | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -0.1% | 0.2% | ||
| Year over Year | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% to 0.8% |
Highlights
China's headline consumer price index rose 0.7 percent on the year in November after advancing 0.2 percent in October, and fell 0.1 percent on the month after an increase of 0.2 percent previously. Inflation has been in negative territory for six of the last ten months but the year over-year increase in November is the biggest since February 2024. Producer price inflation data also published today showed ongoing weakness in price pressures.
The increase in headline CPI inflation was largely driven by a rebound in food prices, up 0.2 percent on the year after a previous fall of 2.9 percent. Core CPI inflation was unchanged at 1.2 percent.
Headline CPI inflation matched the consensus forecast. The China RPI fell from plus 7 to zero while the RPI-P rose from minus 8 to plus 10, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are close to consensus forecasts.
The increase in headline CPI inflation was largely driven by a rebound in food prices, up 0.2 percent on the year after a previous fall of 2.9 percent. Core CPI inflation was unchanged at 1.2 percent.
Headline CPI inflation matched the consensus forecast. The China RPI fell from plus 7 to zero while the RPI-P rose from minus 8 to plus 10, indicating that recent Chinese data in sum are close to consensus forecasts.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
With the anti-involution campaign reducing price competition, CPI projected to rise 0.7 percent on year in November, up from 0.2 percent in October.
Definition
Consumer Price Index (CPI) is an index that measures changes over time in the price level of consumer goods and services purchased by residents, which reflects the overall changes in price level.
Description
Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation, which is carefully monitored by investors worldwide. Investors worldwide monitor Chinese price changes closely. A pickup in inflation could mean an increase in interest rates is in the offing from the People's Bank of China while an easing could mean looser monetary policy. The monthly CPI is broken down by 8 categories with more detail available on the following day including aggregate information by urban and rural areas and provinces.
The CPI measures the change in the level of prices for a specified basket of goods and services normally purchased by urban and rural residents. Approximately 226 areas throughout the country are covered, including 80 counties and 146 cities. The current CPI is an annually chained Laspeyres price index and has been available since 2001. From 1978 to 2000, the index was compiled using current year weights for most items.
The CPI measures the change in the level of prices for a specified basket of goods and services normally purchased by urban and rural residents. Approximately 226 areas throughout the country are covered, including 80 counties and 146 cities. The current CPI is an annually chained Laspeyres price index and has been available since 2001. From 1978 to 2000, the index was compiled using current year weights for most items.
