| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.2% | 0.0% to 0.3% | 0.0% | -0.1% | 0.1% |
| Year over Year | 1.5% | 1.5% to 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
Highlights
Monthly figures showed contrasting behaviour across sectors. Spending on food, drinks and tobacco rose by 0.3 percent, indicating stable demand for essentials. Automotive fuel also grew by 0.3 percent, hinting at continued mobility and travel needs. However, non-food products fell by 0.2 percent, pointing to cautious discretionary spending as households balanced budgets.
The annual showed that all major categories expanded as non-food products rose by 2.1 percent, suggesting that households were more willing to buy durable and semi-durable items over the year. Food-related sales and automotive fuel also showed healthy annual growth.
Regionally, France (minus 0.1 percent after 0.0 percent) and Germany (minus 0.3 percent after 0.3 percent) recorded falls while Spain (0.0 percent after minus 0.4 percent) was stable over the month. Overall, the retail sector appears steady but cautious, retaining modest annual gains that signal underlying consumer resilience. These updates take the RPI to minus 18 and the RPI-P to minus 9, meaning that economic activities, adjusted for prices are now within the expectations of the euro area economy.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps auto sales are especially strong or apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.