| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-City Adjusted - M/M | 0.1% | 0.1% to 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 20-City Unadjusted - M/M | -0.3% | -0.5% | ||
| 20-City Unadjusted - Y/Y | 1.1% | 1.0% to 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
Highlights
Sixteen of 20 markets declined month-over-month in October, signaling broad stagnation as high mortgage rates weigh on affordability and suppress price momentum, it said.
The 20-city home price index increased 0.4 percent on the month in October, seasonally adjusted, and the unadjusted annual rate of increase eased to 1.3 percent from September's 1.4 percent. The consensus was 1.1 percent for the year-on-year figure in October.
The national non-seasonally adjusted home price index showed a 0.3 percent gain in October from September, and a 1.4 percent annual increase up from +1.3 percent in September.
Chicago reported the highest annual gain with a 5.8% increase in October, followed by New York and Cleveland with annual increases of 5.0% and 4.1%, respectively. Tampa posted the lowest return in October, falling 4.2%.
The ongoing decline in housing prices must be pleasing to Federal Reserve officials in their anti-inflation fight, but the erosion of household wealth will continue to weaken consumer sentiment, underscoring the balance of risks to the U.S. economy.
Definition
Description
Beginning with the onset of the subprime credit crunch in mid-2007 and with it a downturn in home prices, the ability of borrowers to refinance their debt into affordable fixed rate mortgages was sharply constrained. This in turn limited aggregate consumer spending and contributed to the depth of the Great Recession. From their peak in late 2006 and early 2007 to their nadir in mid-2012, Case-Shiller's home price indexes fell nearly 50 percent. The subsequent recovery proved slow but steady with the indexes finally surpassing their prior highs in early 2018.