ActualPreviousRevised
BalanceNZ$-1,542MNZ$-1,355MNZ$-1,384M
Imports - M/M7.3%-4.5%
Imports - Y/Y10.5%1.6%1.5%
Exports - M/M-0.1%0.9%1.6%
Exports - Y/Y15.6%19.0%18.1%

Highlights

New Zealand's merchandise trade deficit widened from NZ$1,384 million in September to NZ$1,542 million in October. This compares with a deficit of NZ$1,654 million in October 2024. Exports weakened but imports rebounded strongly.

Exports fell 0.1 on the month in October after advancing 1.6 percent in September, with year-over-year growth moderating from 18.1 percent to 15.6 percent. Exports of meat, fruit and dairy products recorded strong increases, while exports rose on the year to all major trading partners with the exception of South Korea.

Imports rose 7.3 percent on the month in October, up sharply from a previous fall of 4.6 percent, and rose 10.5 percent on the year after a previous increase of 1.5 percent. Imports of petroleum, mechanical machinery and equipment and motor vehicles all rose on the year. Imports from Australia, China, and Japan, all rose on the year, offset by weaker imports from South Korea, the European Union, and the United States.

Definition

The international trade balance measures the difference between imports and exports of both tangible goods and services. Imports may act as a drag on domestic growth and they may also increase competitive pressures on domestic producers. Exports boost domestic production. Trade balance values are calculated by deducting imports (cif) from exports (fob).

Description

Changes in the level of imports and exports, along with the difference between the two (the trade balance) are a valuable gauge of economic trends here and abroad. While these trade figures can directly impact all financial markets, they primarily affect the value of the NZ dollar in the foreign exchange market. Imports indicate demand for foreign goods in New Zealand. Exports show the demand for NZ goods in countries overseas. The currency can be sensitive to changes in the trade deficit run by New Zealand since this trade imbalance creates greater demand for foreign currencies. The bond market is also sensitive to the risk of importing inflation.
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