| Consensus | Consensus Range | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | -0.7% | -1.0% to -0.3% | 0.5% |
| Annual Rate | -2.7% | -3.9% to -1.2% | 2.2% |
| Year over Year | 0.4% | 0.1% to 0.8% | 1.7% |
Market Consensus Before Announcement
The preliminary Q3 GDP data, due from the Cabinet Office at 0850 JST on Monday, Nov. 17 (2350 GMT / 1950 EDT, Sunday, Nov. 16), are expected to show a decline driven by a pullback in exports, a sharp drop in housing investment and a drawdown in inventories.
However, the slowdown is seen as modest and does not suggest a broad-based deterioration in Japan’s economic fundamentals. Private consumption and business investment are expected to remain resilient, indicating that the underlying strength of the economy is largely intact.
Definition
Description
The GDP report contains a treasure-trove of information which not only paints an image of the overall economy, but tells investors about important trends within the big picture. GDP components such as consumer spending, business and residential investment, and price (inflation) indexes illuminate the economy's undercurrents, which can translate to investment opportunities and guidance in managing a portfolio.