| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | 0.0% | 0.0% to 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| Year over Year | 0.3% | 0.3% to 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Highlights
Investment activity provided some modest encouragement, with machinery and equipment rising by 1.1 percent, although construction continued to contract. The services sector remained the most resilient part of the economy, especially information and communication and hospitality-related activities, while manufacturing and construction extended their downward trajectory.
Year-over-year, GDP increased by a modest 0.3 percent, in line with expectations and supported by higher consumer spending and stronger government expenditure, though capital formation and exports weakened. Employment levels held broadly steady, and labour productivity improved slightly. Rising wages fuelled higher consumption, but this came at the cost of a reduced savings ratio.
Compared with other major EU economies, Germany's performance remained subdued, underscoring ongoing structural challenges in trade-exposed and construction sectors. This latest update takes the RPI to minus 31 and the RPI-P to minus 39, indicating that economic activity continues to fall short of expectations for the German economy.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower. Currency traders prefer healthy growth and higher interest rates. Both lead to increased demand for a local currency. However, inflationary pressures put pressure on a currency regardless of growth.