| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Composite Index | 51.1 | 51.1 to 51.1 | 52.2 | 50.1 |
| Services Index | 51.1 | 51.1 to 51.1 | 52.3 | 50.8 |
Highlights
New business rose in October, mainly due to rising domestic demand. Employment fell only slightly, extending a year-long run of job losses as firms reduced headcounts to offset rising payroll costs. Input inflation remained above the long-run average but still reached an 11-month low, moderated to its lowest since November 2025.
Wage pressure remained one of the drivers of inflation. Firms also noted rising energy bills and food prices. Input costs rose at a pace above the long-run average; meanwhile, prices charged eased to its slowest since June due to easing cost pressures. Optimism persisted, with nearly half of firms forecasting growth over the year ahead.
Overall, October's updates show a service sector showing resilience in spite of rising costs and uncertainty. This leaves the RPI at 28 and the RPI-P at 50, showing that economic activity is moderately outperforming the expectations of the UK economy.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI services data give a detailed look at the services sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. The indexes are widely used by businesses, governments and economic analysts in financial institutions to help better understand business conditions and guide corporate and investment strategy. In particular, central banks in many countries use the data to help make interest rate decisions. PMI surveys are the first indicators of economic conditions published each month and are therefore available well ahead of comparable data produced by government bodies.