| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | 0.2% | 0.2% to 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Year over Year | 1.3% | 1.1% to 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
Highlights
Looking at annual performance, GDP expanded by 1.4 percent compared with the same quarter in 2024. Although this is slightly below the 1.5 percent recorded in the second quarter, it still reflects a stable recovery pattern. The slight moderation hints at softer domestic demand, yet the overall picture remains broadly positive.
Within the region's quarterly growth, France recorded a stronger rebound, rising by 0.5 percent after a contraction of 0.3 percent. Spain also increased by 0.6 percent, though this was slightly below its previous growth of 0.8 percent. Germany showed no growth, holding at 0.0 percent after a decline of 0.2 percent, and Italy similarly posted 0.0 percent following a small fall of 0.1 percent.
Together, the quarterly and annual trends suggest an economy moving forward at a cautious but consistent pace. The incremental rise in growth signals resilience across the euro area, supported by improving external conditions and moderate internal activity. While the momentum is not rapid, it reflects a balanced recovery rather than a volatile one. These latest updates take the RPI to 3 and the RPI-P to minus 6, meaning that economic activities continue to stay within the expectations of the bloc.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anaemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower. Currency traders prefer healthy growth and higher interest rates. Both lead to increased demand for a local currency. However, inflationary pressures put pressure on a currency regardless of growth.