ActualPrevious
Month over Month0.3%0.5%
Year over Year2.4%2.2%

Highlights

Annual house price growth in the UK edged up to 2.4 percent in October, with a monthly rise of 0.3 percent. This suggests the housing market remains steady despite subdued consumer confidence, rising borrowing costs, and signs of labour market weakness. Mortgage approvals have stabilised at pre-pandemic levels, signalling continued buyer interest. Resilience is notable given mortgage rates remain more than double their pre-Covid levels and house prices sit near record highs.

Looking ahead, affordability may improve if income growth continues to outpace price growth, and further reductions in the bank rate could ease borrowing pressures. Strong household balance sheets also provide support, as debt relative to disposable income is at its lowest level in twenty years.

Home renovation trends show a strong preference for kitchen and bathroom upgrades, with 71 percent of homeowners undertaking these improvements. Green upgrades, particularly solar panels, are becoming more popular among younger households. Motivations vary, including aesthetics, increasing property value, and creating additional space.

Extensions and loft conversions continue to add significant value. Additional bedrooms are especially prized, with a large double bedroom and bathroom capable of increasing a three-bedroom home's value by up to 24 percent. Overall, the market reflects cautious optimism under constrained conditions.

Definition

The Nationwide House Price Index (HPI) provides house price information derived from Nationwide lending data for properties at the post survey approval stage. Nationwide house prices are mix adjusted; that is, they track a representative house price over time rather than the simple average price.

Description

Home values affect much in the economy especially the housing and consumer sectors. Periods of rising home values encourage new construction while periods of soft home prices can damp housing starts. Changes in home values play key roles in consumer spending and in consumer financial health. During the first half of this decade sharply rising home prices boosted how much home equity households held. In turn, this increased consumers' ability to spend, based on wealth effects and from being able to draw upon expanding home equity lines of credit.

Although the Nationwide data are calculated similar to the Halifax method Nationwide substantially updated their system in 1993 following the publication of the 1991 census data. These improvements mean that Nationwide's system is more robust to lower sample sizes because it better identifies and tracks representative house prices. Historically, the data go back to 1952 on a quarterly basis and 1991 on a monthly basis.

Over long periods the Halifax and Nationwide series of house prices tend to follow similar patterns. This stems from both Nationwide and Halifax using similar statistical techniques to produce their prices. Nationwide's average price differs because the representative property tracked is different in make up to that of Halifax.
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