Highlights
It will be interesting to see how many dissenters join Governor Stephen Miran in calling for a more aggressive rate cut. Presumably that would be a harbinger of what is to come in 2026 when President Trump will replace Powell with someone like Miran, ready to do the president's bidding. For now, with Powell still in charge, markets are somewhat on edge ahead of the Fed's afternoon press conference to see whether Powell appears reluctant to proceed with the rate cuts markets expect headed into year end and Q1 of 2026.
Markets also expect the Fed to signal an end to its program to shrink its bond holdings to take effect immediately or by year end. That would help avoid an unwanted spike in money market rates due to liquidity shortages, as happened in 2019 during an earlier era of quantitative tightening.