Highlights
Given the blackout of official indicators due to the shutdown, attention to this report is especially keen. The question is whether it will change the picture in a meaningful way or alter expectations for rate cuts. The CBOE FedWatch tool says markets are pricing a 98 percent chance of 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting next week, and 93 percent chance of another 25 basis points at the next meeting in December. It would take a lot to alter that expectation given Fed statements pointing to employment weakness trumping inflation worries.