Labour market conditions in Australia were mixed in September, with full-time employment rebounding after a previous decline but the unemployment rate increasing. Reserve Bank of Australia officials noted that labour market conditions"was still a little tight" at their most recent meeting, but the increase in the unemployment rate reported today may strengthen the case for another rate cut at their next meeting in November.

The number of people employed in Australia rose by 14,9000 persons in September after falling by 5,400 persons in August, well below the consensus forecast for an increase of 20,000. Full-time employment rose by 8,700 persons after falling by 40,900 persons previously, continuing the oscillation between increase and decreases in recent months. Part-time employment, increased by 6,300 persons after a previous increase of 35,500 persons. Hours worked rose 0.5 percent on the month after advancing 0.1 percent previously.

Today's data also show the unemployment rate rose from 4.3 percent in August to 4.5 percent in September, its highest level since late 2021. The participation rate rose slightly from 66.9 percent to 67.0 percent.

The consensus looks for employment to recover by 20K in September after declining 5K in August. Unemployment is expected to rise to 4.3 percent from 4.2 percent in August.

The Labour Force Survey is a key economic indicator giving an overall picture of employment and unemployment. Employment counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation's business and government establishments. The unemployment rate measures the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labour force.

This report is used as an indicator of the health of the domestic economy. Employment trends highlight the strength in job creation and the implications for future sectoral activity. The unemployment rate is used as an indicator of tightness in labor markets and can foreshadow a future increase in wages. Labor force data provide investors with the earliest signs of industry performance. While other data are produced with a month or two delay, these data are available only a week to 10 days after the end of the latest month. Reactions can be dramatic - especially when the result is unanticipated.

The information in the report is invaluable for investors. By looking at employment trends in the various sectors, investors can take more strategic control of their portfolio. If employment in certain industries is growing, there could be investment opportunities in the firms within that industry.

The bond market will rally (fall) when the employment situation shows weakness (strength). The equity market often rallies with the bond market on weak data because low interest rates are good for stocks. But sometimes the two markets move in opposite directions. After all, a healthy labor market should be favorable for the stock market because it supports economic growth and corporate profits. At the same time, bond traders are more concerned about the potential for inflationary pressures.

The unemployment rate rises during cyclical downturns and falls during periods of rapid economic growth. A rising unemployment rate is associated with a weak or contracting economy and declining interest rates. Conversely, a decreasing unemployment rate is associated with an expanding economy and potentially rising interest rates. The fear is that wages will accelerate if the unemployment rate becomes too low and workers are hard to find.