| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | 0.1% | 0.0% to 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Year over Year | 1.2% | 1.1% to 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
Highlights
On an annual basis, GDP increased by 1.3 percent, a small easing from the 1.5 percent recorded previously. This indicates that while year-over-year growth remains positive, the pace of expansion is gradually cooling. The figures point to an economy navigating a challenging environment of weak external demand and cautious consumer spending, yet still avoiding stagnation. Among the top four nations within the region, Germany (0.0 percent after minus 0.2 percent) and Italy (0.0 percent after minus 0.1 percent) showed no growth in the third quarter, while France (0.5 percent after 0.3 percent) grew.
However, the rate of increase in Spain (0.6 percent after 0.8 percent) decelerated.
In essence, the data highlight resilience, but the slight slowdown in annual growth reinforces the need for policy stability and supportive investment conditions across the euro area. This latest update takes the RPI to 48 and the RPI-P to 53, meaning that economic activities are well ahead of the expectations within the euro area.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anaemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower. Currency traders prefer healthy growth and higher interest rates. Both lead to increased demand for a local currency. However, inflationary pressures put pressure on a currency regardless of growth.