| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-City Adjusted - M/M | -0.1% | -0.1% to 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.1% |
| 20-City Unadjusted - M/M | -0.6% | -0.3% | ||
| 20-City Unadjusted - Y/Y | 1.6% | 1.2% to 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% |
Highlights
The Case-Shiller 20-city adjusted index is up 0.2 percent on the month in August from July, seasonally adjusted. The unadjusted month on month figure declines 0.6 percent.
Meanwhile the Case-Shiller national index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, sees a 1.5 percent rise in July, its slowest in more than two years, and well below the 3 percent rate of overall inflation. The 10-City composite is up 2.1 percent on year versus 2.3 percent in July.
Nineteen of 20 major metro areas show declines on the month, not seasonally adjusted, which indicates broad weakness, Case-Shiller says. Only Chicago sees an increase on the month, not seasonally adjusted.
New York shows the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 6.1 percent increase in August, followed by Chicago at 5.9 percent and Cleveland at 4.7 percent. Tampa is off the most, falling 3.3 percent.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Beginning with the onset of the subprime credit crunch in mid-2007 and with it a downturn in home prices, the ability of borrowers to refinance their debt into affordable fixed rate mortgages was sharply constrained. This in turn limited aggregate consumer spending and contributed to the depth of the Great Recession. From their peak in late 2006 and early 2007 to their nadir in mid-2012, Case-Shiller's home price indexes fell nearly 50 percent. The subsequent recovery proved slow but steady with the indexes finally surpassing their prior highs in early 2018.