| Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -1.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| Year over Year | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% |
Highlights
Manufacturing output fell 1.7 percent in July, as transportation equipment production contracted 10.7 percent from June, the largest decline since April 2020 when it plummeted 48.5 percent during the pandemic. The decline can be laid at the feet of a sharp decline in aerospace output in July. This, for now, doesn't signal an overall implosion in production, but rather the pullback from very strong results in June.
The same pattern held true for the manufacture of machinery and equipment which fell 2.2 percent in July after a 3.9 percent month-on-month gain in June. At the same time, other manufacturing gained 1.0 percent in June after a rather tepid 0.2 percent gain the previous month.
Capital goods output dropped 4.8 percent in July after a gain of 7.0 percent the previous month, while intermediate goods rose 1.0 percent, extending a 0.6 percent gain in June. Consumer durables production rose 1.7 percent, another strong gain after 2.1 percent in June. For non-durable consumer goods, production fell 0.2 percent in July from a 0.3 percent gain previously.
Despite today's decline in transportation output, the sector has been outperforming all the other major components this year, a trend going back to the middle of 2022. Looking ahead, the manufacturing PMI increased to 50.4 in August and showing expansion for the first time since January 2023.