| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -0.8% | -0.9% to -0.5% | -0.8% | 1.5% |
| Year over Year | 4.0% | 6.6% |
Highlights
The advance indicator for August points to retail sales recovering 1.0 percent. Looking ahead, the Bank of Canada expects slow population growth and the weakness in the labor market to weigh on household spending in the coming months.
In July, motor vehicles and parts edged up 0.2 percent, the only category to record higher sales from June. By contrast, gasoline and fuel fell 0.9 percent. Excluding these two categories, core sales contracted 1.2 percent after rising 2.2 percent in June.
A 1.3 percent decrease in food and beverages, representing about 19 percent of total sales, led July's weak performance.
Housing-related sales were also down over the month, with building material and garden equipment and supplies down 2.1 percent and furniture, home furnishings, electronics and appliances down 0.6 percent.
Regionally, sales decreased in five provinces, led by a 1.6 percent drop in Ontario.
While overall sales were down in July, e-commerce sales increased 2.2 percent, accounting for 6.1 percent of total retail trade, up from 6.0 percent in June.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness but electronics sales are soaring. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.