| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | -0.4% | -0.4% to -0.3% | -0.9% | 0.8% |
| Year over Year | 0.0% | 0.0% to 0.0% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
Highlights
The quarter-over-quarter decline in headline GDP largely reflects weakness in investment, down 1.1 percent on the quarter, as well as a 1.2 percent drop in exports. Central government spending also fell, offset by an increase in local government spending. Growth in household spending also slowed from 1.4 percent to 0.4 percent. Weaker growth was broad-based on a sectoral basis.
At their most recent policy meeting last month, officials at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the main policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.00 percent. Officials have lowered policy rates by a cumulative 250 basis points over their previous eight meetings after an extended period of restrictive policy settings. Although they advised that they expect domestic growth will be supported by previous policy easing, they cautioned that global uncertainty and weaker house prices may slow the pace of economic recovery.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Gross domestic product (GDP) can be measured using three approaches, namely the production, income and expenditure approaches. The production measure of GDP is derived from firm level data and estimates the value added by all producing industries in the New Zealand economy. The income measure of GDP is derived from earnings data and estimates how the income earned from these producing industries is then distributed throughout the economy as returns to labor, capital and government. The expenditure measure of GDP is derived from data estimating spending on goods and services by final end users and includes consumption, investment and exports minus the value of imports.