| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Composite Index | 49.8 | 49.8 to 49.8 | 49.8 | 48.6 |
| Services Index | 49.7 | 49.7 to 49.7 | 49.8 | 48.5 |
Highlights
Respondents to the survey reported an increase in employment to a 15-month high, with hiring coming on the back of increased work backlogs amid a slowing decline in new orders. US tariffs appear to be taking a toll with foreign orders for services falling markedly.
Operating expenses are on the rise, with input price inflation reaching a six-month high. Transportation, wages, and raw materials were more expensive in August, foreshadowing growing inflationary pressures in the pipeline. Companies reported eating some of the increased costs rather than passing them all on to their customers. The question is how long will companies be willing to do so?
On Monday, the manufacturing PMI rose above 50, to 50.4, for the first time since January of 2023, and showing the manufacturing sector is in expansion.
Even with sentiment improving, the outlook for both manufacturing and services remains cautious.
Today's results are a positive sign and lending some fragile underpinnings to the private sector economy. The coming months will see how well businesses digest the 15 percent tariffs and whether businesses will feel pressure to pass along higher costs to their customers. For now, businesses are waiting out to see if a US court ruling deeming most of the tariff's illegal are confirmed by a possible review by the US Supreme Court.