| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | 0.2% | 0.2% to 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Annual Rate | 0.9% | 0.7% to 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Year over Year | 1.3% | 1.2% to 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
Highlights
JAPAN Q2 REVISED REAL GDP: +2.2% ANNUALIZED VS. PRELIM +1.0%; MEDIAN FORECAST WAS +0.9%
JAPAN Q2 REVISED GDP: DOMESTIC DEMAND CONTRIBUTION +0.2 PCT POINT VS. PRELIM -0.1 POINT; MEDIAN FORECAST WAS 0.0 POINT
JAPAN Q2 REVISED GDP: CAPEX CONTRIBUTION +0.1 PCT POINT VS. PRELIM +0.2 POINT
JAPAN Q2 REVISED GDP: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION CONTRIBUTION +0.2 PCT POINT VS. PRELIM +0.1 POINT
JAPAN Q2 REVISED GDP: PRIVATE INVENTORIES CONTRIBUTION -0.0 PCT POINT VS. PRELIM -0.3 POINT; MEDIAN FORECAST WAS -0.3 POINT
JAPAN Q2 REVISED GDP: NET EXPORT CONTRIBUTION +0.3 PCT POINT VS. PRELIM +0.3 POINT; MEDIAN FORECAST WAS +0.3 POINT
JAPAN Q1 REVISED REAL GDP: +0.1% Q/Q VS. +0.1% IN PREVIOUS REPORT, +0.3% ANNUALIZED VS. +0.6%
Market Consensus Before Announcement
In the revised Q2 GDP data, domestic demand is forecast to have provided a slightly positive 0.1 percentage point contribution to total domestic output (revised up from -0.1 point). The decline in private sector inventories by -0.3 point (unrevised) overwhelmed a 1.2% rise q/q (no forecasts for contribution) in business investment, revised down from +1.3% (+0.2 point). External demand (exports minus imports) is believed to have pushed up the Q2 GDP by 0.3 point, as reported last month.
Consensus forecasts for key components in percentage change on quarter except for private inventories and net exports, whose contributions are in percentage points. Preliminary figures are in parentheses.
GDP q/q: +0.2% (+0.3%); 5th straight rise
GDP annualized: +0.9% (+1.0%); 5th straight rise
GDP y/y: +1.3% (+1.2%); 4th straight rise
Domestic demand: 0.0 point (-0.1 point); flat after 1st rise in 2 qtrs
Private consumption: +0.2% (+0.2%); 5th straight rise
Business investment: +1.2% (+1.3%); 5th straight rise
Public investment: -0.1% (-0.5%); 1st drop in 2 qtrs
Private inventories: -0.3 point (-0.3 point); 1st drop in 2 qtrs
Net exports (external demand): +0.3 point (+0.3 point), 1st rise in 2 qtrs
Definition
Description
The GDP report contains a treasure-trove of information which not only paints an image of the overall economy, but tells investors about important trends within the big picture. GDP components such as consumer spending, business and residential investment, and price (inflation) indexes illuminate the economy's undercurrents, which can translate to investment opportunities and guidance in managing a portfolio.