| Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Year over Year | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
Highlights
Household spending rose 0.9 percent on the quarter, up from 0.4 percent previously, while private investment was flat after a previous increase of 0.7 percent. Public investment, however, fell 0.2 percent on the quarter, while net trade made a small contribution of 0.1 percentage points.
Today's data cover the period in which officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia continued to easy policy settings, with an initial rate cut in February, followed by another in May. It also covers the initial period following the increase in tariffs on Australian imports by the Trump Administration in early April. GDP growth appears to have been impacted only modestly by these developments, but this impact may build in the second half of the year. The RBA forecasts quarterly around 0.6 percent to 0.7 percent per quarter in the next two quarters, with annual growth rate forecast to be 1.7 percent for 2025.
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower.