| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 55.4 | 55.4 to 56.0 | 55.1 | 55.4 |
| Year-ahead Inflation Expectations | 4.8% | 4.8% to 4.8% | 4.8% |
Highlights
The pessimism is no longer due to just concerns about the broader economic outlook but also rising worries about personal financial situations.
"Although September's decline was relatively modest, it was still seen across a broad swath of the population, across groups by age, income, and education, and all five index components, the report said.
Nationally, not only did macroeconomic expectations fall, particularly for labor markets and business conditions, but personal expectations did as well, with a softening outlook for their own incomes and personal finances.
The report noted continued frustration over persistent high prices and their negative impact on consumers' personal finances. Interviews this month highlight the fact that consumers feel pressure both from the prospect of higher inflation as well as the risk of weaker labor markets, it said.
The final year-ahead inflation expectations dipped to 4.7 percent in September, from 4.8 percent in August.
Long-run inflation expectations in September also rose to 3.7 percent from 3.5 percent last month, the second consecutive monthly increase.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
This balance was achieved through much of the nineties and, in large part because of this, investors in the stock and bond markets enjoyed huge gains. It was during the late nineties that the consumer sentiment index hit its historic peak, reaching levels that were never matched during the subsequent 2001 to 2007 expansion nor during the long expansion following the Great Recession.
Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy, so the markets are always dying to know what consumers are up to and how they might behave in the near future. The more confident consumers are about the economy and their own personal finances, the more likely they are to spend. With this in mind, it's easy to see how this index of consumer attitudes gives insight to the direction of the economy. Just note that changes in consumer confidence and retail sales don't move in tandem month by month.