Highlights
Powell is caught between the rising voices of dissenters Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, the governors already calling for a rate cut, and the Fed majority which is aligned with the more cautious view Powell has taken until now. Not to mention the harsh attacks on the Fed and calls for huge rate cuts coming from President Trump and his team. Powell has used the Jackson Hole appearance to set the stage for policy shifts in the past. Will he this time? Or will be say he won't prejudge the deliberations to come at the meeting of policy-makers coming on Sept. 16-17?
Markets continue to price in a 25 basis point rate cut on September, according to the CBOE Fedwatch tool. The outlook after that is less clear.