| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI - M/M | 0.2% | 0.2% to 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| CPI - Y/Y | 2.1% | 2.0% to 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% |
| Core CPI - M/M | 0.3% | 0.1% | ||
| Core CPI - Y/Y | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Highlights
At its most recent meeting, held last month, the Bank of Korea left its main policy rate on hold at 2.50 percent, in line with the consensus forecast. In the statement accompanying that decision, officials expressed confidence that inflation will remain stable and close to their target level. Officials, however, advised that they were reluctant to ease policy further at that meeting because of concerns about house price growth in the Seoul area and higher household debt. Measures introduced by the South Korean government to slow the property market appear to have had some initial effect, but officials argued that it is appropriate to give these measures more time to operate before lowering policy rates again. Today's inflation data suggests that concerns about the inflation outlook will not prevent additional policy easing if officials are confident that the property market measures are working.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from mortgages and auto loans to government securities. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.