| Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Year over Year | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| HICP - M/M | -0.2% | -1.0% |
| HICP - Y/Y | 1.7% | 1.7% |
Highlights
Monthly increases include transportation services (+2.1 percent), processed food and alcohol (+0.7 percent), and recreation (+0.3 percent), while non-regulated energy prices fell 1.7 percent.
There is a marked contrast between goods and services inflation, with the former up 0.6 percent in August from a year ago, after 0.8 percent in July. Services rose 2.7 percent year-on-year in August after a 2.6 percent gain the month before, reflecting a gap of 2.1 percentage points, up from 1.8 percent in July.
Core inflation which excludes energy and unprocessed food was up 2.1 percent from August of last year, up from 2.0 percent in July. Energy prices had an overall mitigating effect on the CPI, as the measure excluding energy rose to 2.3 percent year-on-year from 2.2 the previous month.
The harmonized inflation index (HICP) is expected to contract 0.2 percent in August from July while increasing 1.7 percent year-on-year in August and July.
Definition
Description
Italy like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies. The core CPI, which excludes fresh food, is usually the preferred indicator of short-term inflation pressures.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.