ConsensusConsensus RangeActualPreviousRevised
Month over Month0.2%0.1% to 0.2%0.4%-0.1%
3-Months over 3-Months0.3%0.5%0.6%

Highlights

The UK economy showed renewed momentum in June 2025, with monthly GDP rising by 0.4 percent after two consecutive declines in April and May. This rebound contributed to a 0.3 percent increase in GDP over the three months to June compared with the previous quarter, driven mainly by steady growth in the services sector.

Services output grew by 0.3 percent in June, building on modest gains in May and recovering from April's decline. Production output made a stronger comeback, increasing by 0.7 percent after a sharp 1.3 percent drop in May, while construction also grew by 0.3 percent, reversing part of the previous month's fall.

Over the quarter, services expanded by 0.4 percent and construction by a robust 1.2 percent, though this was partially offset by a 0.3 percent contraction in production.

The June figures suggest a broad-based recovery across key sectors, with upward revisions to earlier data painting a slightly brighter picture of recent performance. However, the contrasting figures for services and construction against a still-weak production sector highlight the uneven nature of the growth. This latest update takes the RPI to 9 and the RPI-P to 9. Meaning that economic activities are within the expectations of the UK economy.

Market Consensus Before Announcement

GDP predicted up 0.2 percent on the month in June after declining 0.1 percent in May.

Definition

Gross domestic product (GDP) is the broadest measure of aggregate economic activity and encompasses every sector of the economy. The monthly report is based on output data only as the income and expenditure series are not available.

Description

GDP covers all aspects of economic activity. Investors need to closely track the economy because it usually dictates how investments will perform. Stock market investors like to see healthy economic growth because robust business activity translates to higher corporate profits. GDP contains a treasure-trove of information which not only paints an image of the overall economy, but tells investors about important trends within the big picture. However, the monthly report is quite limited and only provides data on the main output sectors. More detailed information is available in the quarterly reports.
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