| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | -5.0% | -6.0% to -4.2% | -4.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
Highlights
The dollar value of new orders for all factory goods is down 4.8 percent in June from May after an increase of 8.3 percent in May from April. The June decline is close to the consensus of down 5.0 percent in the Econoday survey of forecasters. The main source of the June drop in orders is a 22.4 percent fall in transportation where orders are down 0.7 percent for motor vehicles, 51.8 percent for nondefense aircraft, and 20.0 for ships and boats. Defense aircraft orders are up 5.0 percent in June. Excluding transportation, total orders are up 0.4 percent in June after up 0.3 percent in May.
New orders for durable goods plunge 9.4 percent in June after an increase of 16.5 percent in May. The snapback in aircraft orders puts total durable orders excluding aircraft up 0.2 percent in June. Orders for electrical equipment are up 2.4 percent in June, primary metals are up 0.6%, fabricated metals up 0.1 percent, and machinery up 0.3 percent.
New orders for nondurable goods is up 0.5 percent in June after a scant increase of 0.1 in May. Much of the June increase reflects rises of 0.4 percent rise in food products and 1.5 percent in beverages and tobacco. Petroleum and coal products are up 1.4 percent in June from the prior month.
Unfilled orders are up 1.0 percent in June after an increase of 3.4 percent in May. Most of the increase in unfilled orders is from the transportation component which is up 1.6%. Excluding transportation, unfilled orders are flat and suggest little demand in the pipeline to support activity going forward.