| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 58.6 | 58.0 to 60.5 | 58.2 | 58.6 |
| Year-ahead Inflation Expectations | 4.8% | 4.9% |
Highlights
The rise in pessimism is no longer due to just inflation, with growing concerns about employment now in the mix.
"Buying conditions for durable goods subsided to their lowest reading in a year, and current personal finances declined 7%, both due to heightened concerns about high prices, the report said. Expectations for business conditions and labor markets contracted in August as well.
That said, expectations for personal finances held steady this month, albeit at relatively subdued levels relative to a year ago," it added.
The final year-ahead inflation expectations rebounded to 4.8 percent in August from 4.5 percent in July, breaking the streak of two straight months of receding near-term inflation expectations.
Long-run inflation expectations in August also rose to 3.5 percent from 3.4 percent last month, ending a run of three consecutive monthly declines.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
This balance was achieved through much of the nineties and, in large part because of this, investors in the stock and bond markets enjoyed huge gains. It was during the late nineties that the consumer sentiment index hit its historic peak, reaching levels that were never matched during the subsequent 2001 to 2007 expansion nor during the long expansion following the Great Recession.
Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy, so the markets are always dying to know what consumers are up to and how they might behave in the near future. The more confident consumers are about the economy and their own personal finances, the more likely they are to spend. With this in mind, it's easy to see how this index of consumer attitudes gives insight to the direction of the economy. Just note that changes in consumer confidence and retail sales don't move in tandem month by month.