| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CPI - M/M | 0.0% | 0.0% to 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.1% |
| CPI - Y/Y | 2.1% | 2.0% to 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Core CPI - M/M | 0.1% | 0.2% | ||
| Core CPI - Y/Y | 2.0% | 2.0% |
Highlights
At its most recent meeting, held late May, the Bank of Korea cut its main policy rate by 25 basis points to 2.50 percent, in line with the consensus forecast. In the statement accompanying that decision, officials expressed confidence that inflation will remain stable and close to their target level. Officials, however, revised down their growth forecasts, largely reflecting the impact of global trade tensions. They also advised that they maintain a rate cut stance, with the timing and pace of additional easing to be guided by incoming data. With other data showing weakness in activity and sentiment. this stability in core inflation will likely strengthen the case for additional policy easing at the BoK's next meeting scheduled for next week.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Inflation (along with various risks) basically explains how interest rates are set on everything from mortgages and auto loans to government securities. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.