| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter over Quarter | 0.7% | 0.4% to 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Year over Year | -0.8% | -0.9% to -0.8% | -0.7% | -1.1% |
Highlights
The quarter-over-quarter increase in headline GDP largely reflects strong growth in household spending, up 1.4 percent on the quarter after an increase of just 0.1 percent previously. This was offset by weaker investment spending, down 1.3 percent on the quarter after a previous increase of 0.4 percent, with government spending and exports also recording weaker growth. On a sectoral basis, stronger growth in manufacturing and mining outweighed weaker growth in services and utilities.
Officials at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points from 3.50 percent to 3.25 percent at their most recent policy meeting last month. Officials have now lowered policy rates by a cumulative 225 basis points over their last six meetings after an extended period of restrictive policy settings. In the statement accompanying that decision, officials reiterated their confidence that policy easing over recent months will support a recovery in domestic growth, despite noting concerns about the impact of global trade tensions. Although officials provided little guidance about the likelihood of further easing in coming months, they consider that they are"well placed" to respond to developments as required.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Gross domestic product (GDP) can be measured using three approaches, namely the production, income and expenditure approaches. The production measure of GDP is derived from firm level data and estimates the value added by all producing industries in the New Zealand economy. The income measure of GDP is derived from earnings data and estimates how the income earned from these producing industries is then distributed throughout the economy as returns to labor, capital and government. The expenditure measure of GDP is derived from data estimating spending on goods and services by final end users and includes consumption, investment and exports minus the value of imports.