Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.3% | -0.1% |
Year over Year | 0.9% | 0.7% |
HICP - M/M | 0.4% | -0.2% |
HICP - Y/Y | 0.8% | 0.6% |
Highlights
Year-on-year, prices are predicted to rise 0.9 percent from June of last year, compared with a 0.7 percent gain in May, according to preliminary estimates. Services were the main driver, rising 2.4 percent in June from a year ago after a 2.1 percent annual gain in May. A 6.9 percent drop in energy prices helped mitigate the overall increase. Food prices gained 1.4 percent in June from a year ago, up from 1.3 percent in May.
The harmonized CPI used to compare inflation among EU countries rose 0.8 percent in June from a year ago, accelerating from 0.6 percent in May. On a monthly basis, inflation is seen up 0.4 percent in June after falling 0.2 percent in May.
Energy prices have been keeping overall prices gains in check, but with volatility in the middle east, that could change rapidly.
More details will be available with the release of final figures July 11.
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.