Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | -1.4% | -2.3% to 2.0% | -1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
Year over Year | -2.0% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
Highlights
Machinery and equipment production declined by 2.4 percent, further dragging overall performance. When excluding energy and construction, core industrial production fell by 1.9 percent, with capital, intermediate, and consumer goods all recording monthly contractions. Energy output was also down 1.6 percent.
However, there were pockets of resilience: the food industry grew by 5.7 percent and construction rose by 1.4 percent, suggesting some underlying sectoral momentum. Still, energy-intensive sectors remain under pressure, with output falling 2.1 percent month-over-month and 2.7 percent annually, underscoring ongoing challenges linked to energy costs and global demand uncertainty.
Indeed, the industrial sector's mixed signals suggest fragility beneath modest quarterly gains, with future performance hinging on stabilising global conditions and domestic policy support. This latest update takes the RPI to minus 15 and the RPI-P to minus 13, meaning economic activities are behind expectations in Germany.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Like the manufacturing orders data, the production index has the advantage of being available in a timely manner giving a more current view of business activity. Those responding to the data collection survey account for about 80 percent of total industrial production. Like the PPI and the orders data, construction is excluded.
This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.