Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.5% | 0.4% to 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
Year over Year | 1.5% | 1.5% to 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
Highlights
Household spending rose 0.4 percent on the quarter, while private investment increased 0.7 percent. Public investment, however, fell 2.0 percent on the quarter, while net trade made a negative contribution of 0.1 percentage points. Weather events caused substantial disruption to exports during this period.
Today's data cover the period in which officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia cut policy rates for the first time since 2020. Officials also cut rates further at their last meeting mid-May. Today's data, however, suggest that previous policy tightening is continuing to weigh on demand and activity.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower.