Highlights
No one expects any interest rate change from the Fed, perhaps especially in light of pressure from President Trump to cut rates. As no one can tell what Trump will do next on tariffs and as the economic data are only starting to register the impact of Trump's trade war, Powell is expected to say the Fed remains well positioned to wait for clarity. In connection with the Fed's immediate priorities as the tariff shock plays out, Powell said, our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem. And Fed Governor Waller said the 90-day pause in Trump's reciprocal tariffs suggests it will be late summer before the impact become clear.