| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.5% | 0.5% to 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Year over Year | 0.8% | 0.8% to 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| HICP - M/M | 0.7% | 0.6% | ||
| HICP - Y/Y | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Highlights
Price increases were evident in services which increased 1.1 percent during the reporting month and stood 2.4 percent higher than their year-ago level. Energy again helped offset the gain as prices fell 1.6 percent from March and 7.8 percent from April of last year.
Households paid 0.7 percent more for food in April than in March and 1.2 percent more than a year ago.
Within services, transportation costs increased 10.2 percent in April, and 3.9 percent on a year-on-year basis.
Core inflation was a more moderate 0.2 percent in April, although it increased 1.3 percent using a year-on-year comparison. The HICP, which allows for comparison against inflation in other European countries was 0.7 percent higher in April, and 0.9 percent higher than a year ago, both increasing from their flash reading.
Offsetting price developments are keeping overall prices in check for the time being, but continues increases in services prices will put stress on household budgets which in turn could dampen retail sales in the coming months.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.