ConsensusConsensus RangePrevious
Current Conditions-77.0-78.0 to -76.0-81.2
Economic Sentiment0.0-16.0 to 10.0-14.0

Market Consensus Before Announcement

Current conditions expected at minus 77.0 in May versus minus 81.2 in April. Economic sentiment is seen up to 0 from minus 14.0 in April after a tremendous drop from 51.6 in March as investors reacted to economic uncertainty unleashed by US tariffs.

Definition

The Mannheim-based Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW), asks German financial experts every month for their opinions on current economic conditions and the economic outlook for Germany (as well as other major industrial economies). The responses are synthesised into two simple indices that provide a snapshot of how the economy is seen to be performing.

Description

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is calculated from the results of the ZEW Financial Market Survey. The ZEW is followed closely as a precursor and predictor of the Ifo Sentiment Survey and as such is followed closely by market participants. The data are available around mid-month for the current month. The survey provides a measure of analysts' view of current economic conditions as well as a gauge of expectations about the coming six months. The latter measure tends to have the larger market impact and reflects the difference between the share of analysts that are optimistic and the share of analysts that are pessimistic. About 350 financial experts take part in the survey.
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